mirrored file at http://SaturnianCosmology.Org/ For complete access to all the files of this collection see http://SaturnianCosmology.org/search.php ========================================================== Subject: Ellenberger Replies to Cochrane and Talbott (1/2) Date: 20 Jun 1994 16:12 MST Organization: University of Arizona Lines: 590 Distribution: world Message-ID: <20JUN199416124123 at skyblu.ccit.arizona.edu> Ellenberger Contra Cochrane: The Second Reply & Talbott, Too Foreword On 22 May, Everett Cochrane (C.) replied to the first three points, or 42% of my 19 May reply to him. Although his primary goal was to discredit me, a careful examination of his remarks shows that he is the one who should be concerned about his credibility because in trying to skewer me he gloriously displays Chanticleer-style his own lamentable ignorance. I regret the delay in this reply to C., who has seen fit to repost his criticism at least twice, but I have been held up waiting for replies from several people who have been and are unavailable. While this reply to C. has been pending, I have posted a comprehensive reply to Cardona, two replies to Grubaugh and several shorter items on the physiological effects of strong magnetic fields, etc. I have also been actively engaged in advancing research by facilitating the interaction between and/or among A.D. Kilmer, H.A.T. Reiche, H. von Dechend, O. Gingerich and E.G. McClain. I am grateful to Jim Lippard for posting the original reply to Godowski and this rejoinder, plus posting my letter "A Lesson from Velikovsky" (_Skep. Inq._, Summer 1986), and reposting my clarification to "Ignotum per Ignotius" (IpI), rejected at AEON by C., when C. reposted his 22 May remarks. In the April 1984 DISCOVER, Carol Tavris observed: "One of the sturdiest findings in the slushy social sciences is that when a belief system [e.g., Freud's, or Velikovsky's, or Talbott's] meets contrary evidence--when faith meets facts--the facts are sacrificed." This was my disappointing realization in April 1981 when I discovered that Velikovsky's (V's) use of Douglass's sequoia tree rings was unfounded and no one at KRONOS with whom I shared this discovery was concerned. But it took me until 1983 before I had realized that this symptom applied to all of the support for WORLDS IN COLLISION (WC) and that the evidence in the Greenland ice cores, which I had been rationalizing since 1977, in fact refuted V.'s scenario as well as those of other catastrophists and neo-V'ians. These ice cores are a perfect way to test Clube & Napier's model of Earth's episodic interaction with the dense portion of the Taurid-Encke Complex in the Holocene by looking for certain extraterrestrial chemical and isotopic signatures in the seasonal layers which can be counted back over 80,000 years by naked eye in the new Summit cores. Unfortunately, ice core workers do not routinely look for these exotic low level species; but this is not to sa they are not present. The following analysis will show that nothing presented by C. can be given credence and that his behavior fits the model described by Tavris above. I make no bones about the fact that most of what C. has posted about me and the handling of my invited memoir at AEON that he cancelled after the first installment is manifestly not true. In April when I learned about the lies (confirmed in posts to t.o by Lippard) posted by C., I informed him that all future communication would be in writing for the sake of documentation. Previous unanswered criticisms by C. of my conduct as a V'ian supporter now a turncoat were addressed in a 5 May memorandum sent to 14 t.o participants. A copy of it may be obtained by sending a SASE to Leroy Ellenberger, 3929A Utah St., St. Louis, MO 63116, marked "M", or $1.00 in lieu of SASE for foreign mail (your money's worth guaranteed). The falsehoods and other chicanery perpetrated by C. in one paragraph posted 14 Jun are examined in Appendix A, below. With this foreword, I hope the main rebuttal to C. will be mercifully short, presenting C.'s criticism, either by quote or paraphrase, followed by my reply. I hasten to add, however, that Cardona's 14 line comment on 20 May took 76 lines to discredit. If these comments strike the reader as intemperate, keep in mind that these arguments have been consistently ignored and/or dismissed by "Saturnists" since 1988 when Talbott invited me to be devil's advocate at AEON. Reply to Cochrane 1a. Velikovsky deserves "credit for his singularly novel idea" that "Venus only recently presented a comet-like appearance" and that "recent cataclysms involving the respective planets inform ancient mythology." WRONG. Here C. disqualifies himself the first time as a competent commentator. Boucher was correct when he noted on t.o that Venus is too massive to have a tail, now or ever. Comets have tails because their gravity field is too weak to hold an atmosphere when their ices sublime. Bodies as big as Venus hold an atmosphere, even were it molten, and do not show a tail. Through the miracle of thermodynamics, even today with a surface hot enough to melt lead, the cloud tops of Venus are about -40 degrees C. No one has even shown that Venus _could_ present a comet- like appearance, i.e., have a visible tail. Venus's alleged tail is a red herring that has eluded detection until now; even Sagan missed it. So, if some body had a tail and was called "Venus" or was associated with Venus, it must have been an ordinary comet by composition, if not size. Hint: the giant proto-Encke in Clube & Napier's model. C. also commits the _petitio principii_ fallacy assuming Venus had a tail for which V. deserves credit when such a tail has not been established and, indeed, is impossible, as reasoned above. C. is mistaken if he believes science gives credit for "novel ideas." Novel ideas are easy. AEON is chock full of them and most, if not all, are wildly wrong. As Henry Bauer sagely noted: "Novelty receives a prize only after it has become part of the conventional wisdom" (2). C. is quite misguided to think that V's priority on the erroneous notion that Venus had a tail has any importance. On the other hand, Radlof (1823), whom C. decries, is germane because his scenario in HESPERUS AND PHAETHON places Venus in a cometary orbital scenario quite similar to V's in WC. All of C.'s carping over Radlof's obscurity is irrelevant. Obscurity never stopped D. Talbott from citing a source in his book THE SATURN MYTH. Although no U.S. research library holds it, Clube & Napier's copy was obtained from the Royal Observatory, Edinburgh. As for recent cataclysms involving planets, no physical evidence exists to support this notion and a host of circular, resonant satellite orbits at Earth, Mars, Jupiter and Saturn flatly contradict such a naive, simplistic notion. Regarding Venus, as C&N note, any prominent comet presenting a morning and evening apparition at perihelion would have been associated with her. C. also ignores the fact that the five visible planets were named _after_ gods whose stories arose before the planets were named. Since C. claims to be familiar with van der Waerden's SCIENCE AWAKENING II, he should know that to the Babylonians, except for Sun and Moon, the planet was not the god, but only the visible manifestation of the god (p. 57), e.g., Jupiter was "star of the god Marduk" (p. 59). 1b. The "bizarre reference to Charles Raspil's phantom statement" does not exist. WRONG. C. took the bait of my unspecified reference to Raspil. The source is HORUS I:2 (1985) 25. C. could have given me the benefit of the doubt regarding the authenticity, but he chose to treat it as though I made it up. HORUS was a sister publication to KRONOS, founded by our deceased colleague at KRONOS, and my friend, Dr. David Griffard, who published seven issues. On his frequent trips to and through St. Louis in '83-'84 he told me in no uncertain terms that the "Saturnitis" that had afflicted KRONOS with many articles by Rose, Cardona, Cochrane and Talbott was an intellectually irresponsible abomination. As for the relevance of 17th century Europeans mistaking Venus for a comet, if they, why not some of the ancients to whom C. ascribes 100% veracity? 2a. Tuman's dating Mul Apin Tablet I to 2048 BC cannot be correct because this is earlier than recognized by such scholars as Reiner and van der Waerden and such "astronomical proficiency" was "unknown and unimaginable in third millenium Mesopotamia." WRONG. C.'s discussion of Tuman's work and the Venus Tablets of Ammizaduga is thoroughly corrupt. Van der Waerden does not say the observations on the Mul Apin tablets are from the Assyrian and Neo- Babylonian periods; the tablets we have are copies of older tablets made in these more recent periods. What irony that someone who blindly accepts V.'s intuition against the world's scientific and scholarly authorities raises these same authorities against Tuman's bona fide envelope-pushing insights. Once again C. demonstrates how disconnected he is from the world of scholarship. According to A.D. Kilmer, Assyriologist at Berkeley, scholars at meetings where Tuman presents his methodology and results have no problem with his pushing dates back, as C. seems to think; they question instead various steps in his procedures. The roots of astronomical proficiency extend back farther than C. even begins to imagine. Peter Huber has dated Enuma Anu Enlil tablers 19-20 to 2302 BC (5). Archie Roy reports that in 1899 Robert Brown dated Aratus's famous astronomical poem to 2084 BC, that a Sumero- Akkadian Euphratean Planisphere shows the Sun in Taurus at vernal equinox, a position that predates 2540 BC, and that the present zodiac dates from 2000+/-200 BC (9). Willy Hartner concluded that the lion- bull combat motif originated at Persepolis or Ur about 4000 BC (3). According to Harald Reiche, the iconography of Iranian vases from 4000 BC is demonstrably unintelligible except in terms of quasi-precessional phenomena (8). According to Tom Worthen, "With the possible exception of the designation for Ursa Major, Pleiades is the only name for an asterism to be represented in several Indo-European daughter languages" (13). Let the reader decide who possesses a "colossal ignorance in matters involving archaeoastronomy." 2b. "Indeed, for several years now I have attempted to talk Leroy into debating Tuman's work within the pages of Aeon...." WRONG. This is not true because C.'s only knowledge of Tuma's work has been from Archaeoastronomy X (1987-1988) which, despite its date, was released April 1993. No useful purpose would be served by debating Tuman's cutting-edge work with scientifically illiterate zealots in a pseudo-science publication. I might as well debate the Copernican system in a Flat Earth Society publication. Tuman's first paper applying his methodology appeared in 1983 (12). 2c. "The Ammizaduga Tablets support the thesis that Venus once moved upon a different orbit." WRONG. Once again C. evidences his lamentable ignorance of a V'ian issue. As I relate in IpI in AEON III:1, according to Rose & Vaughan, if the Venus Tablets record accurate observations, they imply ONLY that Earth's eccentricity has changed. To assume the change is due to Venus is another instance of _petitio principii_, begging the question. C. claims my discussion in AEON "is not a reputable source"; and this would be true were I advancing some cockamamie notion such as Earth having no tilt between, say, 3400 BP and 2700 BP or Earth acquiring the Moon in the Holocene (see Appendix B for note 17 from AEON III:1, p. 103); but this is not the case for IpI merely marshalls the collective wisdom of such "reputable sources" as Peter Huber, Owen Gingerich, Asger Aaboe, and John Weir to refute the pro-V. interpretation of the Venus tablets. In fact, IpI was vetted at several stages by Huber, Gingerich, and Weir. I even sent the second draft to Rose for comment, to no avail. Furthermore, C. misses the point that, in V'ian scholarship, the critic is required to evidence awareness of all relevant dscussions, no matter how derivative. 2d. "That the Babylonians and Maya...both computed Venus' disappearance interval to be 90 days suggests that Venus only recently moved upon a different orbit." WRONG. These intervals were counted, not computed. Huber's point is that the observations in the Tablets are qualitatively the same as Babylonian observations from the late first millenium so the null hypothesis cannot be rejected and the Tablets reflect no change in the planetary orbits (4). Aveni makes a compelling case that these deviant allocations of the Venus cycle were an attempt by the Babylonians and Maya "to fit Venus's motion into the time frame marked by the phases of the moon" (1). Unfortunately, Aveni's keen insight is marred by his not knowing that Huber now favors 1702 BC as Ammizaduga's Year 1 and not distinguishing between historical and astronomical dates, i.e., between BC and (-). Contrary to C., the similar discrepancies in the Venus Tablets and Dresden Codex do not mean the orbits have changed because of the work of Huber and Aveni cited above. Curiously, C. cites Aveni's 1981 book when he was perplexed by the discrepancies instead of his 1992 book when he was not, which C. reviewed in AEON III:2. 3. "The fact is that I am quite familiar with van der Waerden's book and it thoroughly contradict's Ellenberger's position." WRONG. Page 70 of SCIENCE AWAKENING II lists the contents of Mul Apin Tablet I, dated by Tuman to 2048 BC and perforce Sumerian, which contents include the elements of configurational astronomy. Technically, C. is correct that van der Waerden does not ascribe the origin of configurational astronomy to the Sumerians, but this technicality is overcome by the fact that, according to Hartner (3), the Babylonians got their astronomical terminology for stars and constellations from the Sumerians. Thus, C.'s wish that "the Sumerians had kept such records" is fulfilled! The discussion at pp. 78-79, cited by C., is irrelevant to the origin of configurational astronomy. 4. Although C. does not address my discussion of the reed bundle Inanna symbols, which admittedly resemble comet tails (as the proverbial cigar resembles a phallus), I would point out that in context, not only do they often appear in pairs, but the constant association is with animals and birthing huts (11), whose connection with comets is obscure, to say the least. The Parthian Shot: C. ends his reply by harking back to our joint service on the staff of KRONOS and quoting Lynn Rose's opinion of me and my work in KRONOS XII:1 (1987). This tactic is most unfortunate, for it puts Rose's credentials into play and they do not survive close scrutiny. C. has a penchant for exaggeration, as when he writes "Ellenberger and I have had a long association." I beg to differ. Merely being on the same masthead with no personal contact is no meaningful association. I never had any continuing dealings with C. until May 1991 when he invited me to contribute to the Velikovsky retrospective project and promised me that my reply to Rose on the ice cores ("Litmus Tests in the Ice") would appear in the same issue as Rose's ice core article that appeared in AEON III:1. C. broke this promise when he made "Litmus Tests..." the first section of Part 2 which was then cancelled. This association ended officially in June 1993, but effectively in January when he left me alone as I revised the final section, "Legacies," as we agreed was advisable. I categorically deny C.'s charge about my alleged "carelessness as a writer." My articles, letters-to-the-editor, and forum items in KRONOS were highly regarded and I was told (by Greenberg) garnered high levels of reader response, mostly favorable, e.g., "Heretics and Dogmatists..." (4 pts), Earth as tippe top (4 pts), "Still Facing Many Problems" (2 pts), and my defense of the catastrophic demise of the mammoth in KRONOS VII:4 (1982) which I retracted in AEON II:5 (1991). Quoting Rose against Ellenberger is like asking Cato what he thought of Hannibal. Rose stopped communicating with me in 1983 when we could not agree on the materiality of the omissions, misrepresentations and exaggerations in V.'s STARGAZERS AND GRAVEDIGGERS (see Appendix C: "Denouement," the penultimate section of my cancelled AEON memoir that was not type-set and of which C. told me his readers were not interested in such information; you be the judge.) If anyone wants a countervailing opinion about Ellenberger, they might balance C.'s, Rose's, and Greenberg's (AEON III:2) skewed perspective by contacting such people and Tom Van Flandern, Victor Slabinski, Harald Reiche, Ernest McClain, Michael Friedlander, Victor Clube, Henry Bauer, John White, Martin Gardner, Milton Zysman and Frank Wallace. Before he called me a "jack-ass" in AEON II:4, George Talbott once write "I admire your tenacity, your ability to write clearly and forcefully, and your intelligence" (June 4, 1982). When V. inscribed his RAMSES II AND HIS TIME to me 20-V-78, he wrote "To Leroy who is almost consumed by the sacred flame of search for Truth." I am that person still; but smarter and wiser. On the other hand, as probably the last insider to defend the Mars events in WC, Rose shows no sign of being smarter and wiser. At the August 1992 CSIS meeting at Haliburton, Ontario, I was moved to announce from the floor after a break: "So far as I am concerned, nothing has been a bigger impediment to a sensible post-Velikovsky research program among supporters than the obstinacy, mendacity, invincible ignorance, and corrupt methodology of professor of philosophy L.E. Rose." In my 1 Sept. '92 letter to Clark Whelton, I went on: "His intellectual pathology has been apparent to objective readers since his article in PENSEE I in 1972 and confirmed by his correspondence with Michael Friedlander following PSA 1974 a Notre Dame where Friedlander was confronted by Velikovsky, Paterson and Rose. In THE NEW AGE: Notes of a Fringe-Watcher (1988), Martin Gardner observes: 'That KRONOS continues to be published is a striking tribute to the persistence of irrational beliefs on the part of humorless acolytes--the outstanding example is Lynn Rose, professor of (of all things) philosophy at the State University of New York at Buffalo--whose minds are set in concrete.'...My attitude towards Rose is no aberration or behavior without provocation. It may be unorthodox, but it is not unjustified....Newcomers to Velikovsky with whom I've corresponded are aghast at Rose's personal attack on me in KRONOS XII:1 and many subscribers considered deplorable Greenberg's treatment of me in KRONOS XII:3. In July 1991, Greenberg wrote a mutual correspondent saying Ellenberger is 'a barbarian unfit to be in polite academic society.' Excuse me, but at the risk of being self-serving, I do appreciate the difference between 'on stage' and 'off stage' behavior and am one of the few persons in the Velikovsky literature who has ever retracted an erroneous position: SISW 5:4 and AEON II:5. Velikovsky did, too, in June 1951 Harper's, but he did not follow through as he said he would. On balance, I'd put my record against anyone's in pursuing 'the sacred flame of the search for truth' which Velikovsky once inscribed for me in one of his books." Although Rose is the first to admonish others about _petitio principii_, the fallacy of affirming the consequent, he is also one of its biggest perpetrators. Consider the following passage deleted by C. from IpI: Claiming that with such problems as energy-disposal we stand before a door, not a wall, Rose exhibits a naively cavalier attitude toward the laws of physics. It would be more accurate-- and more honest--to say that Velikovsky's sequence of planetary orbits does not conserve energy instead of deflecting criticism by saying it 'conserve[s] total angular momentum and do[es] not increase total orbital energy' (PENSEE VIII, p. 27). He has more faith in Velikovsky's intuition than in the laws of physics, as captured in the following passage from his April 19, 1979 letter to me: I don't want to provide anyone with any basis at all for saying that _I_ regard those unanswered questions as difficulties. When Vaughan and I wrote 'Sequence', we freely and frankly discussed various questions and problems. Then certain critics (whose names I have successfully repressed) said that _we_ had identified problems and difficulties that invalidated Velikovsky's scenario. That is of course a gross distortion (as the ending of 'Sequence' makes clear).... The wall/door metaphor for impossibility/opportunity has become quite popular, having been invoked in KRONOS X:1, p. 92; XI:2, p. 12; and XII:3, p. 66. It is also simplistic. Before one can reliably identify a 'door,' or an 'opportunity for discovery,' one needs to be able to identify both 'doors' and 'walls.' In PENSEE VIII, Rose & Vaughan contrasted energy conservation with the parallax problem which some saw as a reason to reject the Copernican theory while Bruno saw it as an indication that the stars were very far away. However, the parallax problem is different in kind from the energy conservation problem. The parallax problem disappears by a change in scale while the energy conservation problem does not. There ARE real 'walls.' Some things really are impossible or wrong, e.g., perpetual motion machines, the flat earth, phlogiston, N rays, and polywater..... Rose has not shown that he can identify a 'wall.' Until he does so, his identification of 'doors' cannot be taken seriously. Obviously, Rose is unable to admit that WC is wrong--as he also shows in his approach to the ice cores where he refuses to acknowledge the simple litmus test they pose: If the debris deposited in Earth's atmosphere by Venus caused 40 years of darkness at Exodus, where is it since there is no sign of it in the world's ice caps, ocean bottoms, or even the Sea of Galilee? Rose has violated one of the most important canons of V'ian scholarship by ignoring the published versions of this test (see Appendix D for my first NATURE letter, "Falsifying Velikovsky," 1 August 1985) and by ignoring RGA Dolby who put the ice cores on the table in 1977 in the British Velikovsky journal. Instead, Rose proposes that during the period between the Venus and Mars events, Earth had no tilt which somehow produced the brittle sections in the deep polar ice caps. But the brittle sections do not occur at the same epochs in different cores and not at all in Tibetan cores. Rose shows his incompetence in KRONOS XII:2 when he dates an acid signal at 4000 BC (later reported to be 1645 BC) using linear interpolation on depth for dating a signal at 1200m between endpoints of (50 BC, 800m) and (10,000 BC, 1800m) which implicitly ignores thinning with depth. All of Rose's malfeasance on ice cores was exposed by Sean Mewhinney in "Ice Cores and Common Sense" which was sent to Rose in April 1989 as part of a joint mailing by Bauer, Ellenberger, and Mewhinney distributed to 110 people and published in C&AH XII:1 & XII:2 in 1990; yet Rose ignores this criticism. Rose is not alone in this behavior, for in 1986 George Talbott declined to answer the question posed above. We know Earth's axis was tilted during this period because the Chinese left us with gnomen readings they used to determine the solstices at this time. Such is the power of true interdisciplinary synthesis to which V'ians barely pay lip service. Rose's reluctance to confront the ice cores squarely reminds me of the contrasting attitude displayed by Professor William Buckland, as related in an amusing anecdote by Ariadne in NEW SCIENTIST for 13 Feb. 1986: "He was being conducted round a cathedral and the guide pointed out the stains of a martyr's blood. As usual, they were ineradicable and always fresh. Buckland got down on the pavement and tested the stain with the tip of his tongue. 'I can tell you what that is,' he said. 'It's bat urine.'" Rose's performance in assessing the ice cores as witness to WC shows that he is not really willing to stick out his tongue. That Rose's intellectual pathology is long-standing is obvious from a critical reading of his "The Censorship of Velikovsky's Interdisciplinary Synthesis" in PENSEE I, reprinted in VELIKOVSKY RECONSIDERED (1976). With the help of Sean Mewhinney and Henry Bauer, Rose's article was annotated in 1990 for distribution at the "Reconsidering Velikovsky" Symposium in Toronto under the title: "The Annotated Rose: A Propaganda Piece Analyzed." It is available by sending a SASE marked "Rose" to Leroy Ellenberger, 3929 Utah St., St. Louis, MO 63116, or $1.00 in lieu of postage for foreign mail (your money's worth guaranteed). Talbott's Shared Delusion Sunday, 12 Jun, C. posted 183 lines of nonsense by Dave Talbott trying to lend credence to his naive, literal interpretation of myth. But Talbott's methodology is irredeemably flawed on several grounds. 1. Their entire enterprise is based on the "Big Lie" that the planets were the first gods. However, the real truth is that the planets were named after pre-existing gods whose origin had nothing to do with planets. The major role of planets in early religion was in astrology, the product of theological speculation. According to Morris Jastrow, Jr., in his "famous" and oft-cited article "Sun and Saturn," Saturn was not given a specific name until after Venus and Jupiter were named, which is surely strange if Saturn was the primordial deity described by the "Saturnists." The nature of early religion is discussed in, e.g., T. Jacobsen, _The Treasures of Darkness_ (1976), E.O. James, _The Worship of the Sky-God_ (1963), E. Lyle, _Archaic Cosmos: Polarity, Space and Time_ (1990), and G.A. Wainwright, _The Sky-Religion in Egypt_ (1938/1971). 2. The association of Sun and Saturn that looms large in the "Saturnists"' lore is readily accounted for by the law of contrasts: the linking of the fastest and slowest bodies moving in the ecliptic. Saturn may well have been specially associated with the Sun because, according to H.A.T. Reiche, time came to be measured by the Sun's motion and the number 30 linked their periods: 12 x 30 d = schematic solar year and 30 x (12 x 30 d) = Saturn's sidereal year. The notion that "Saturn's immense form encompassed the whole sky" can be explained by the planet's name applying to both ORB and ORBIT. As the most distant planet, Saturn's orbit, indeed, can be said to have encompassed the whole sky. There is no need to have Earth close to Saturn to explain this image. There is also no need for Kronos-Saturn to reside at the pole to rule there because in the framework of the _skambha_ he can affect the pole from his orbit through leverage, using the analogy of a ship's railing moving in tandem with the top of the mast; see _Hamlet's Mill_, Ch. XVII, a chapter "Saturnists" such as Cardona and Talbott show no sign of either having read or understood. 3. Talbott ignores the advice in the April 14, 1972 TLS to the effect that "it is not possible to understand the relation of myth to reality without some independent knowledge of the reality." Jerome Lettvin made the same point in "The Use of Myth" in _Technology Review_ (June 1976) with "You can't even guess what is meant [in myth] unless you know what is meant." "Saturnists" make no attempt to support their interpretations with independent, preferably physical, evidence. Ironically, this advice in TLS appeared the month before the Talbott brothers revived PENSEE with the ten issue series "Velikovsky Reconsidered." Similarly, Talbott is very vague about how long the polar configuration lasted and when it ended--and event that should have left unambiguous markers all over the world. 4. Theories can never be proved by successful predictions, whether 120 or 1200, as Wesley Salmon explained in the May 1973 _Scientific American_, ignored then by Talbott at PENSEE and ever since. As I wrote Cardona 22 April 1989: "It is axiomatic in set theory that if a set of symbols, S, has an internally consistent meaning, M, that set can also be interpreted as another consistent meaning, Q. It is abundantly clear to me now that Saturnists took their cue from Velikovsky in assuming Q in the first place and interpreted everything else in terms of Q, logic and physics, and context be damned. But the Egyptians and Babylonians and Sumerians (who were anterior to the former two) never heard of Q, or saw Q. Jastrow makes this quite clear, it seems to me." 5. In interpreting various artistic religious icons and motifs, "Saturnists" ignore the caveat in a footnote C. deleted from IpI, that "a picture is the artist's interpretation of the _symbolic significance_ of the subject, not necessarily a 'realistic' representation." 6. Talbott writes nonchalantly about Earth swapping moons as humankind watched, completely oblivious to the cruel truth that lunar acquisition implies the destruction of the biosphere (see Appendix B). 7. Talbott consistently conflates archaeological evidence with historical evidence, failing to appreciate the fact that an artifact exhumed from a historical site is not historical evidence, but archaeological evidence. Historical evidence properly is written testimony with as little room for interpretation as possible. 8. The "Saturnists" have no respect for negative evidence, considering that since a July 1993 telcon in which I explained the ice core testimony to Talbott, he and C. and Grubaugh have ignored it. In this behavior they emulate their exemplar. When I first met V., at his invitation on Palm Sunday 1978, the survival of the bristlecone pine, which for some is a sufficient disproof of WC, was on my list of questions. When the issue came up, V. responded immediately with the nonchalance of a Borscht Belt comic, "So? They survived." This typifies the general disregard V'ians have for negative evidence. No single negative datum is ever taken seriously since real events cannot be disproved, another instance of assuming the truth of that which needs to be proven, _petitio principii_. 9. The Saturn myth is not as all-encompassing as Talbott would have us believe. It fails to account for at least two aspects of early religion: 1) _dakshina_, the ritual of right running (10, 13) and 2) the sacred number names assigned to Mesopotamian gods ca. 3000 BC by the Sumerians that encoded the primary ratios of music which later influenced the religious mythologies of India, China, Babylon, Greece, Israel, and Europe. According to E.G. McClain, "All ancient 'theology' and a vast portion of ancient mythology is straight-forward harmonical allegory. Deities and heroes encode mathematical functions. Events encode operations. The most powerful metaphors are appeals to visual imagination as it encounters the matrix arithmetic for various alternative perspectives." 10. Finally, as I stated in a footnote deleted by C. from IpI, the "imperative groundrule of catastrophist research" expressed by D. Talbott, "that physical models must be tested against the mythical- historical record" (AEON I:6, p. 123), ignores a crucial qualification, namely, that the only models worthy of consideration are _feasible_ physical models. Thus, the laws of physics should be used to assess the feasibility of proposed polar configurations. Those that are deemed impossible, as Ashton discussed in AEON I:3, should be discarded regardless of the "historical evidence" to which Talbott alluded because, in point of fact, there is no proper "historical evidence" for the polar configuration. For one thing, the polar configuration harks back to the era of _prehistory_. What evidence exists consists of _interpretations_ of various literary and religious motifs whose putative original status as a physical reality is highly dubious....The "Saturnists"...blindly superimpose modern concepts on ancient traditions ignoring the orality-literacy divide (KRONOS XI:1, p. 103) and the difference between cosmogonic, scientific, and historical thinking (Ibid., p. 107). Conclusion The "Saturnists"' interpretation of myth is methodologically unsound and totally unconstrained by the laws of physics. There is no good reason to give any credence to the Saturn myth and its polar configuration whose physical impossibility has been explained to Grubaugh and the people at AEON for the past year by Tom Van Flandern and Victor Slabinski through Ellenberger's missives and memorandums. The "Saturnists" do not explain anything that cannot be explained more economically by conventional scholarship. Most, if not all, of the sky- combat and Venus-comet imagery and the general fear of comets can be explained by Clube & Napier's model (_In the Cosmic Winter_ (1990)) of earth's episodic, energetic interaction with the dense portion of the Taurid-Encke complex during the Holocene, which was the stimulus for periods of eschatological enthusiasm in the Bible--real comets, real firestorms out of the sky (often about 40 days after proto-Encke was spotted), all relatable by archaic reasoning to Venus, and all astronomically feasible. Yet Talbott never discusses Clube & Napier's model as an alternative to his planetary delusion. When confronted with uncomfortable information such as Ashton's "Bedrock...", their reaction is to suppress it rather than to deal with it, or to ignore it as with Clube & Napier. Given their myriad failings, they are clueless in the mythosphere. Leroy Ellenberger, Confidant to Velikovsky, 4/78-11/79 and formerly Sr. Ed. & Exec. Sec'y, KRONOS fax: 314-773-9273 St. Louis, MO, 20 June 1994 REFERENCES 1. A. Aveni, _Conversing with the Planets: How Science and Myth Invented the Cosmos_ (New York, 1992). 2. H.H. Bauer, _Scientific Literacy and the Myth of the Scientific Method_ (Urbana, 1992). 3. W. Hartner, "The Earliest History of the Constellations in the Near East and the Motif of the Lion-Bull Combat," in W. Hartner, _Oriens--Occidens_ (Hildesheim, 1968), 227-259; reprinted from _JNES_ (1965). 4. P.J. Huber, "Early Cuneiform Evidence of the Existence of the Planet Venus," in D. Goldsmith (ed.), _Scientists Confront Velikovsky_ (Ithaca, 1977), 117-144. 5. P.J. Huber, "Dating by Lunar Eclipse Omina," in J.L. Berggren & B.R. Goldstein (eds.), _From Ancient Omens to Statistical Mechanics_ (Copenhagen, 1987), 3-13. 6. E.G. McClain, _The Myth of Invariance_ (York Beach, 1976/1984). 7. E.G. McClain, "Musical Theory and Ancient Cosmology," _The World and I_ (Feb. 1994), 370-391. 8. H.A.T. Reiche, "The Archaic Heritage: Myths of Decline & End in Antiquity," in S. Friedlander et al. (eds.), _Visions of Apocalypse: End or Rebirth_ (1985), 21-43. 9. A.E. Roy, "The Origin of the Constellations," _Vistas in Astronomy_ 27 (1984) 171-197. 10. W. Simpson, _The Buddhist Praying-Wheel_ (London, 1896). 11. K.D. Smith-Tranquillson, "The Structure of Authority during the Late Uruk Period in Mesopotamia: A Synthetic Analysis," (M.A. Thesis, Berkeley, 1989); and David and Joan Oates, _The Rise of Civilization_ (New York, 1976). 12. V.S. Tuman, "The Cerberus Slab of Hatra," _Q Jl. R. astr. Soc._ 24 (1983) 14-23. 13. T.D. Worthen, _The Myth of Replacement: Stars, Gods, and Order in the Universe_ (Tucson, 1991). Jim Lippard _Skeptic_ magazine: lippard at ccit.arizona.edu ftp://ftp.rtd.com/pub/zines/skeptic/ Tucson, Arizona http://www.rtd.com/~lippard/skeptics-society.html From: lippard at skyblu.ccit.arizona.edu (James J. Lippard) Newsgroups: talk.origins Subject: Ellenberger Replies to Cochrane and Talbott (2/2) Date: 20 Jun 1994 16:13 MST Organization: University of Arizona Lines: 364 Message-ID: <20JUN199416131401 at skyblu.ccit.arizona.edu> APPENDIX A To show that what Cochrane (C.) says about Ellenberger cannot be trusted without independent corroboration, take for example a paragraph he posted 14 June in which he states: 1. "...Ellenberger relies on insults rather than a careful evaluation of the evidence." This scurrilous slur is handily refuted by referring the reader to my original 15 point issue-oriented, insult-free reply to Godowski to which C. initially requested four clarifications. The colossal irony here is that there is no evidence for the polar configuration. It is purely the collective self-delusion of a group of self-taught, scientifically challenged mythologists who reject or ignore metaphor in favor of naive literal interpretations. Concomitantly, C. and his cronies ignore my observation that the record of seasonal deposition in the world's ice caps all through the Holocene refute the polar configuration during which there were supposedly no seasons. C.'s exhortation for Ellenberger to examine the evidence evidently, then, does not refer to physical evidence, but to the mythological evidence that is subject to interpretation and requires independent corroboration which the "Saturnists" have consistently ignored. The imperative of physical evidence was emphasized by Han Kloosterman in CATASTROPHIST GEOLOGY (12/76) when he noted: "Velikovsky's claims of a minus 3500 y.B.P. disaster should first of all be based on field evidence, which seems so far lacking." And when approached for the status of Roger Ashton's "The Bedrock of Myth" that was submitted to AEON in November 1987, both Talbott and Cochrane initially denied its existence, but upon pressing admit it exists, but did not merit publication. Just coincidentally, Ashton's "Bedrock..." explains how polar configuration imagery could have arisen with no planetary astronomical cues and how metaphor functioned in the imagery. Recently, C. finally sent Ellenberger a copy of "Bedrock..." that was liberated from Cardona's files. If AEON is really a "journal of myth and science" and not a cult organ, then C. would invite Ashton to present "Bedrock..." at their conference over Thanksgiving weekend this November in Oregon. Copies of this 22-page paper can be obtained by arrangement with Ellenberger (SASE with two stamps for U.S. mail or $1.50 for foreign mail). Whereas my primary approach is to look for physical evidence on Earth, as with the Greenland ice cores, to corroborate the witness from myth, the "Saturnists" ignore the need to find independent corroboration, holding their idiosyncratic interpretation of myth to be superior to mere celestial mechanics and the laws of physics. 2. "This style got him banned from Kronos, where he once served as secretary..." I was never banned from Kronos. I declined to buy into the self- deception entailed by calling an unambiguous disproof a "serious problem" and lost confidence in Greenberg's judgment when he failed to discriminate between personal opinion and scientific facts in refusing to print any letter correcting the gross errors in Jim McCanney's letter "Axioms of Astronomy" in KRONOS X:3. As C. well knows, no one at KRONOS ever served as "secretary." This is just one of his cheap shots. For a period there was a "Senior Editor & Executive Secretary" (see the contributors listing in AEON III:1), the only dual-titled position that was created when Greenberg did not have the heart to demote the "Executive Editor" who was really the "Executive Gofer & Chauffeur." 3. "...it led to his well-publicized problems with Aeon..." The situation with Aeon is "well-publicized" solely because of C.'s postings. My "problems with Aeon" probably stem from my interest in 1) the history of the Velikovsy controversy that debunks highly regarded myths (see Appendix C, below) and 2) physical evidence to support or refute various models and, while there is no physical evidence to support the polar configuration, the present state of the solar system and, indeed, the circular, resonant orbit of our Moon, is a sufficient disproof of it. 4. "...the man who hired Ellenberger to work for Kronos..." KRONOS hired no staff. It was manned by volunteers who Greenberg invited to serve at his pleasure. To my knowledge, Greenberg was the only person who ever took a salary (when finances permitted). The fee Greenberg mentioned in AEON III:2 that he sent to me was a token monthly storage fee paid from 1983 to the end of my back issue fulfillment service in Nov. '87, eleven months after I resigned from the staff in Dec. '86. 5. "...and the man whom Ellenberger acknowledged as personal mentor..." Greenberg taught me the canons of V'ian scholarship and how to be an in- your-face, unrelenting critic. My animus is directed against the hypocrisy in a movement that demands certain behavior from critics that they decline to practice themselves; see Greenberg's "L. Sprague de Camp: Anatomy of a Zetetic" in KRONOS III:1. My targets are not the diehard true-believers who most likely will never give up their delusion, but the innocent by-standers who are looking for authentic intellectual stimulation, as I was in 1969 when I happened upon WORLDS IN COLLISION in a bookstore and was unable to find a responsible guide for the perplexed concerning this admittedly fascinating book. APPENDIX B [From Leroy Ellenberger, "Of Lessons, Legacies, and Litmus Tests: A Velikovsky Potpourri (Part One)," _Aeon_ III:1, p. 103. This footnote does not correspond to the text, but was mistakenly printed as a result of an editing mistake when the last section of part one of the article was substantially cut before publication without the author's knowledge or consent. The footnote corresponds to text that was cut.] [17] Another example of glossing over an insuperable energy disposal problem is provided by Dr. C. J. Ransom with his defense (_KRONOS_ I:3, pp. 47-48) of Velikovsky's proposal that Earth acquired the Moon within the memory of man. The energy disposal is only a modest 48 calories per gram. However, Ransom fails to note that _all_ capture models require Earth to be plastic enough for body tides to dissipate by solid friction the energy loss of the Moon, which "corresponds to 10% of the energy that is required to induce melting," according to S. Fred Singer (_EOS_ 51, 1970, pp. 637-41). This requires capture to occur early in Earth's existence because any lunar acquisition _a la_ Velikovsky implies the annihilation of the biosphere, which did not happen. It is disingenuous for Ransom to imply that Velikovsky was criticized because his orbital changes were impossible when in fact the criticism stemmed from his impossible timescale. APPENDIX C [From Leroy Ellenberger, "Of Lessons, Legacies, and Litmus Tests: A Velikovsky Potpourri" This section was not published. Unlike most of the unpublished portions of the article, this part was not even typeset.] DENOUEMENT (Revised upon advice of J. N. Sammer) How firmly I held to all the Freudian mechanisms so long as the deceptive proximity of the great founder confused my own understanding! How much I had to learn, correct, tone down, or underscore, overcome or forget, or see with a different eye...! Wilhelm Stekel Physics is the science of deciding what is possible and what is not possible, and we now know sufficient physics to make some very reliable decisions. Milton Rothman, _Skeptical Inquirer_, Fall 1989 While public interest in Velikovsky's claims has declined and, furthermore, has been overshadowed by the creation-evolution controversy, the Velikovsky affair continues to be discussed, as by Daisie and Michael Radner in _Science and Unreason_ (1982), by Arthur N. Strahler in _Science and Earth History_ (1987), by J. W. Grove in _In Defence of Science_ (1989), by Clark Chapman and David Morrison in _Cosmic Catastrophes_ (1989), and by Walter Sullivan in _Continents in Motion_, 2nd ed. (1991). Although Bauer's _Beyond Velikovsky_ was completed before Velikovksy died and was trimmed by one-third by the publisher, it is, with later additions, the most complete account of the Velikovsky controversy so far and has been lauded by John L. Casti in _Paradigms Lost_ (1989) and hailed as "the definitive work on Velikovsky" by R. R. Robbins and W. H. Jefferys in _Discovering Astronomy_ (1988). However, many key incidents are missing from the public record. Velikovsky omitted from his memoir _Stargazers and Gravediggers_ much that did not fit the public image he cultivated. He strove to minimize the commercial significance of his writing to create the impression that _Worlds in Collision_ was accepted primarily on its merits as a scholarly work. But it is interesting to note that when Velikovsky first contacted Macmillan in November 1946, he had a letter of intent from Gordon Atwater at the Hayden Planetarium for a Sky Show on his book when it was published. The influence that this letter wielded after eight rejections without it should not be ignored in any historically complete story of the Velikovsky affair; cf. _Stargazers_, pp. 64-65.[1] For twenty years, from 1963 to 1983, DeGrazia _et al._'s _The Velikovsky Affair_ stood as the history of those events, although some commentators noted the bias obvious in the account, _e.g._, W. O. Hagstrom, _The Scientific Community_ (1965). With its status unchallenged, _The Velikovsky Affair_ even attained a mythic dimension and was the standard against which all comments on the controversy were compared. When _Stargazers_ appeared in 1983, it was clearly no "history" and obvious that _The Velikovsky Affair_ was based almost exclusively on Velikovsky's notes which became _Stargazers_ with no countervailing sources to balance and flesh out Velikovsky's biased, incomplete and self-serving version of events. Between the two books there was no history of the Velikovsky affair, only a memoir. Like it or not, Bauer's _Beyond Velikovsky_ is the only history available. While reviewing three books on Freud in the Nov./Dec. 1985 _The Sciences_, J. A. Hobson relates two actions of Freud's having obvious parallels to Velikovsky and his flawed and selective recall in _Stargazers_: "Freud was the careful custodian of his own image and was willing to suppress the truth to protect himself," and "In a research and treatment program whose central rule is to say everything that comes to mind, and which relies on the retrospective assembly of data, the suppression of historical truths is as grave a crime as is concealing experimental evidence."[1a] Before a meaningful reconsideration of Velikovsky can be accomplished, we need to know what Velikovsky was really about. Consider, for example, the following incidents in or missing from _Stargazers_: There is no chapter on _Cosmos Without Gravitation_, which served as the rationalization of the physics implied by _Worlds in Collision_. This pamphlet was sent to many individuals and libraries in 1946-47 so that by 1950 many of the vocal critics had read it and thereby knew that Velikovsky did not understand physics, as Bauer explains in Chapter 7 of _Beyond Velikovsky_. Velikovsky sent a copy of _Cosmos_ to Shapley on March 31, 1947 with an arrogantly worded cover letter. Shapley, in turn, gave it to Donald H. Menzel. The absence of _Cosmos_ from Horace Kallen's "Shapley, Velikovsky, and the Scientific Spirit" (_Pensee I_, reprinted in _Vel. Recon._) undermines the thesis that Shapley was unjustified in rejecting _Worlds in Collision_ before reading it because Shapley, as an astronomer, knew enough to know that the order of the Solar System could not have been changed within the last 3,500 years and that Velikovsky did not have a grasp of the requisite physics to challenge the firmly held astronomical consensus. Similarly, the absence of _Cosmos_ from Sidney Willhelm's "Velikovsky's Challenge to the Scientific Establishment" (_Pensee III_) distorts his analysis. The only evidence of _Cosmos_ in _Stargazers_ is mentions of it in quotes of Shapley and Wildt, the latter with a self-serving footnote by Velikovsky. Velikovsky's discussion of Donnelly in _Worlds in Collision_, KRONOS VII:1, and _Stargazers_ (p. 42) is a grudging acknowledgment intended to minimize Donnelly's significance. However, Velikovsky discovered Donnelly in the New York Public Library in 1940, according to DeGrazia in _Cosmic Heretics_ (p. 337); and I have since learned that Velikovsky was depressed for a week afterwards. Despite this, when _Worlds in Collision_ was submitted to Macmillan in 1946, Donnelly was not even mentioned until J. J. O'Neill noted the absence (Bauer, _Beyond Velikovsky_, pp. 218-23). Velikovsky changes the charge that _Worlds in Collision_ was listed as "Science" to one--which no one made--that it was advertised as a textbook (_Stargazers_, p. 65). The first mention of Velikovsky in _Science_ came in Chester Longwell's April 13, 1951 letter which cites the "Science" listing, but Velikovsky conveniently overlooks Longwell's letter while discussing John Pfeiffer's July 13, 1951 letter which was an explicit reply to Longwell (_Stargazers_, p. 221). Velikovsky also ignores the "Science" listing mentioned by Longwell in the book review discussed in "Quartered at Yale" (_Stargazers_, pp. 162-68). Considering the exposure the "Science" listing received, Joe May's rationalization in his review of _Stargazers_ (KRONOS IX:2) for how Velikovsky garbled it can be given no credence. If Velikovsky had any doubt about the matter, he had over twenty years to resolve it and it would have taken only one phone call. Additional insight into this incident may be found in Juergens' article in KRONOS VI:4, "Asimov's Guide to the Velikovsky Affair" and mine in KRONOS IX:2, "_Worlds in Collision_ in Macmillan's Catalogues." The three last-minute "censors" were not "prominent scientists" (_Stargazers_, pp. 86 & 133), but three friends of Henry McCurdy, Head of the College Dept.: C. W. van der Merwe (Physics, NYU), C. S. Sherman (Chemistry, Cooper Union), and E. M. Thorndike (Physics, Queen's College). The fourth mentioned in a _Stargazers_ footnote (p. 87) was Charles Skelley, a Macmillan employee. Admittedly, some of these "details" are relatively minor. However, the cumulative effect of discovering all these "details" that had been suppressed, some of which are quite significant, was disconcerting to me because, after Velikovsky had emphasized in _Ages in Chaos_ that the Hebrews recorded both the good news and the bad news in the Old Testament, I certainly never expected to find that Velikovsky would manipulate events as he did in _Stargazers_. Memoir or not, it is reasonable to expect Velikovsky's account to be accurate in the portrayal of his chosen topics and not to omit material details from them, such as possessing Atwater's promise for a Sky Show when he contacted Macmillan in 1946. The importance of these omissions and manipulation was the issue that precipitated my estrangement from Rose in 1983. It may not even be possible to know all that Velikovsky ever considered including in _Stargazers_ since the final make-up of the book was determined by the Estate which was constantly shuffling the chapters as publication approached. Henry Bauer obtained from Morrow an advance copy--a set of bound page proofs--that contained several chapters that were dropped from the book just before it went to press.[2] We can only speculate what the situation would be today had Velikovsky's unreasonable terms not squelched a project with the Wolper Organization in late 1974 for a television special on _Worlds in Collision_. Velikovsky's file on these negotiations, which I examined in April 1979, reveals that Velikovsky would not yield on wanting re-run royalties equal to the first showing and withholding exclusive rights to the title "Worlds in Collision" for 18 months. Velikovsky evidently did not want the Wolper project to interfere with a possible Canadian project, but the outcome was that there were no media projects in the wake of the AAAS debacle in February 1974. After Velikovsky's death, a feature film project, with Milton Zysman as producer, foundered because the Estate insisted on a G-rated script which Zysman did not consider commercially viable. Zysman had a budget of $6 million, the talent of a proven, top-flight screen writer[3], and the promise of NASA-quality animation for planetary flybys in the context of a plot based on the Skidee Pawnee sacrifices to the Morning Star. Footnotes to "Denouement": [1] Letter, Atwater to Ellenberger, November 7, 1983. Atwater put his intentions in writing on 10 October 1946 in response to Velikovsky's 3 October request for written confirmation of what Atwater told Velikovsky at their first meeting. Later, George P. Brett, Jr. phoned Atwater to confirm what Velikovsky had evidently told him over the phone. Curiously, Velikovsky's account in _Stargazers_ merely mentions phoning Macmillan for an appointment (p. 63) and then jumps to November 22, the day of Velikovsky's appointment with Harold Latham. In 1978 Velikovsky told me about Atwater's letter about the Sky Show. My telephone conversation with George Brett in January 1984, less than a month before he died February 11th, was not able to corroborate Atwater's account because Brett refused to discuss his experience with Velikovsky except to express his anger over the effect _Worlds in Collision_ had on Macmillan's reputation. Brett's preferred topics of conversation were physical fitness and _Gone with the Wind_. [1a] Apropos Velikovsky's approaching Macmillan, in _The Whig Interpretation of History_, Herbert Butterfield noted "It is not a sin in a historian to introduce a personal bias that can be recognized and discounted. The sin in historical composition is the organization of the story in such a way that bias cannot be recognized." Interestingly, Velikovsky quoted from H. (not M.) Butterfield's _The Origin of Modern Science_ in _Harper's_ (June 1951) and his AAAS address. [2] The deleted chapters were titled "A Dishonest Dollar," "The Supreme Paradox," and "Meryt-Aten and Middlebury." Three chapters were added: "Before the Chair of Jupiter," "Jove's Thunderbolts," and "Earth in Upheaval," while two chapters were substantially re-worked: "In Kepler's Company" and "Mona Lisa and the Antarctic." Previously, _Mankind in Amnesia_ was subject to similar manipulation. Most significantly, the chapter "World Catastrophes as Punishment," which dealt with the role of religion in responding to global cataclysms, was deleted because V's daughter Shulamith deemed it too controversial. [3] Namely, Calder Willingham, screen writer for "Paths of Glory," "Little Big Man," and "Ramblin' Rose," among other films. APPENDIX D [C. Leroy Ellenberger, letter in _Nature_ vol. 316, 1 August 1985, p. 386:] Falsifying Velikovsky SIR--In his review of Henry Bauer's _Beyond Velikovsky_, Owen Gingerich observes: "Although science cannot prove that a Velikovskian scenario is impossible, it might well prove that it did not happen"[1]. Although Gingerich selects Peter Huber's analysis of the Babylonian Venus tablets for this purpose, they simply are not decisive enough. Indeed, Rose and Vaughan's critique of Huber[2], to which Gingerich alludes, is stronger than he allows. The best evidence proving Velikovsky's scenario did not happen is provided by Greenland's Dye 3 ice core[3]. This core is continuous and datable by counting annual layers back at least 7,200 years. Velikovsky's catastrophes _should_ have left unequivocal markers in the ice. Not only are the expected heavy dust layers absent, but volcanic acid fallout, identified with ancient eruptions in the Velikovskian time frame, is comparable in amount to that associated with single, recent eruptions[4]. This is not what would be expected if catastrophes of the magnitude described by Velikovsky had actually happened[5]. C. Leroy Ellenberger 3929A Utah Street, St Louis, Missouri 63116, USA [1] Gingerich, O. _Nature_ 314, 692-693 (1985). [2] Rose, L. E. & Vaughan, R. C. _Kronos_ X:2, 1-12 (1985). [3] Dansgaard, W. _et al._ _Science_ 218, 1273-1277 (1982). [4] Hammer, C. U. _et al._ _Nature_ 288, 230-235 (1980). [5] Ellenberger, C. L. _Kronos_ X:1, 97-102 (1984). [The above letter accurately predicted exactly how Lynn Rose would respond to Gingerich (_Nature_ 317(10 Oct. 1985):470), to which Ellenberger replied bringing up the ice core data again, as well as some additional evidence (_Nature_ 318(21 Nov. 1985):204). Owen Gingerich himself responded to Rose in part by reference to the ice core data brought up by Ellenberger (_Nature_ 319(9 Jan. 1986):93).] Jim Lippard _Skeptic_ magazine: lippard at ccit.arizona.edu ftp://ftp.rtd.com/pub/zines/skeptic/ Tucson, Arizona http://www.rtd.com/~lippard/skeptics-society.html