mirrored file at http://SaturnianCosmology.Org/ For complete access to all the files of this collection see http://SaturnianCosmology.org/search.php ========================================================== Professor Irving Wolfe Last night, in my opening address, I tried to establish what catastrophism is and to assess where it has reached as of now. This morning, at the beginning of Session 2, I want to offer a few thoughts on what uniformitarian science is and where it has reached as of now. I do this because, at the end of this day, I will be chairing a panel whose topic is "Velikovsky's Place in Science," and I think we have to be sure what we mean by science before we can attempt to determine Velikovsky's place in it. Just as there are many myths and falsehoods surrounding catastrophism which have to be stripped away before one can hope to understand it, there are errors and popular fallacies and oversimplications attached to science which have to be exposed if we are to attain a correct glimpse of its nature. My talk this morning will therefore seek to remove the misconceptions, misunderstandings and consequently the mis-evaluation of science that is rampant in our culture, and to replace it with a description which is more in line with what it actually achieves, only after which, in my opinion, can we allow ourselves to measure Velikovsky against it. To do this, I will present excerpts from a book I am writing whose topic (and perhaps title) is The Limits of Understanding. It is an essay in the philosophy of knowledge, being the result of my experience in the wars of literary theory and the work I have done on epistemology as a member of the Society for Literature and Science, where, from 1989 to 1991, three of the book's chapters were first presented as papers. In the book, I examine the knowledge-assertions of a large number of disciplines, especially the hard sciences, and I find (if I may quote myself) that insurmountable obstacles to knowledge exist in every academic field. "After a 400-year run, the rationalist faith in human reason ... has led to a dead end, for, the more we have learned of a practical, graspable, phenomenological nature ... the more it has become apparent (to our horror) that we are approaching the limit of what we can learn about what lies behind the phenomena". In the first four chapters of the book, I deal primarily with the limitations of hard science, before going on to analyze those to be found in history, philosophy, mathematics, psychology, etc. These chapters are already being quoted, taught and used as texts in graduate courses in literary theory, the history of science and philosophy, and what I will present now is a very short precis of them. I had hesitated before preparing it, but I find now that the compression makes the point even more powerful. The picture I refer to, specifically with regard to science, was developed entirely from the opinions of this century's leading physicists. In contrast to the usual view that science (and perhaps it alone) produces truth, every Nobel prize-winner insists that, when it comes to elementary knowledge, what science produces is neither universally true nor real, but is created by the observer and is relative to his predispositions and equipment. As a result, it is not complete but selected, not objective but subjective, and not unique but partial. To summarize 120 pages in a few minutes, science's success, says historian of science Richard Schlegel, comes "from limiting that which is to be described to a selected domain of nature." This produces an observer-created reality, says physicist Roger Jones, in which "the observer and observed ... cannot be broken down into independent components" because "the observer has an uncontrollable and non-removable effect on what is observed." The result, according to physicist Arthur March, is that "what is perceived is....the effects brought to light by this procedure," effects which "are created by this process." This means that the scientist each time he observes creates something new, for, as physicist John Wheeler says, "this is a participatory universe." The scientific observation is therefore less a picture of reality than a sort of mirror in which the observer sees himself, which makes the physical world a product of human consciousness. To physicist Fred Wolf, when we look at the universe "We are looking at ourselves," and to Garry Zukav "we cannot eliminate ourselves from the picture....physics is the study of the structure of consciousness." "We can only see nature blurred by the clouds of dust we ourselves make," says physicist Sir James Jeans, for whom for instance a rainbow is not an independent object up in the sky but a subjective creation in the observer's mind -"Each man's rainbow is a selection from his own eyes ... from an objective reality which is not a rainbow at all." The creation of scientific data is therefore caused mainly by two factors. The first is the equipment used, which influences how the data is created-as John Wheeler says, "When we change the observing equipment ... We have ... a phenomenon that is new," and second, by the pre-existent mental constructs of the observer, which influence how the data is interpreted. That is why Jeans says that the attributes we give to physical objects are "mere articles of clothing...draped over the mathematical symbols; they did not belong to the world of reality," while to Einstein "Time and space are modes by which we think and not conditions in which we live." Scientific theory is therefore neither absolute nor correct, but a compromise which "shows us something about reality in the only way we can get at reality." Similarly, David Bohm speaks of energy streaming from both the observer and the observed. "The phenomena are the result of the intersection ... from the same reality," but it "has no clear meaning" because what is unambiguous is misleading and only "the ambiguous is the reality." These specialists insist that in science the observer is omnipresent, which led physicist and astronomer Arthur Eddington to the astonishing assertion that, in science, "the mind has by its selective power fitted the processes of Nature into ... a pattern largely of its own choosing; and in the discovery of this system of law the mind may be regarded as regaining from Nature that which the mind has put into Nature." Proof is therefore circular in science, with events being considered real only if they correspond to what we already believe. I.e., to Jeans the laws of science "are a description, not of nature, but of the human questionings of nature," and they "tell us nothing about nature, but only something about our own mental processes." Similarly, physicist Heinz Pagels asks, "Are theories "out there?" and answers "I don't think so-theories are inventions," while physicist Werner Heisenberg puts it much more simply - "Science is made by men." In addition, scientific language, whether mathematical or lexical, suffers from the same defects-it is not real but only a "symbolic means of representing the world," "a dangerous instrument to use," "a symbol definable only in terms of other symbols." Opinions about reality therefore exist only in the scientist's mind and "need not," in Jean's words, "resemble the objects in which they originate," and therefore "it is no longer objective nature itself but nature in relation to the human observer that becomes the material studied by physics." On top of that, the scientific report is also a fabrication, for it does not describe what happened but what should have happened and makes no reference to feelings or trial and error. To analysts Broad and Wade the "scientific paper is as stylized as a sonnet" and its framework "is a fiction designed to perpetuate a myth." It is also socially conditioned, riddled with personality and culturally relative, which is why Schlegel says that "science is altogether a human activity," while Karl Popper adds that in science "the authority of truth is the authority of society." All the steps in the process called science are colored by the human touch. These insights led Einstein to the belief that, with the exception of the measurement of the speed of light in a vacuum, every observation is inescapably conditioned by the observer's frame of reference. It led Niels Bohr to his principle of complementarity, (that no single observation can contain all the possible descriptions of a phenomenon), and it led Werner Heisenberg to his uncertainty relation, which states that not all the properties of a subatomic object can be fully investigated by one observation at the same time. To these men scientific knowledge is severely limited or created and subjective, which led Eddington to doubt the reality which science creates. To him, what he calls the "external world" is a human artifact, a structure created as "an answer to a particular problem," and "We refuse to contemplate the awful contingency that the external world, after all our care in arriving at it, might be disqualified by failing to exist." For these reasons both David Bohm and Niels Bohr see the creation of science as similar to the creation of poetry , and Roger Jones insists that, in science, "whatever it is that we are describing, the human mind cannot be parted from it." What these men are saying is that, surprisingly, human involvement is the most influential tool of science and we can therefore never know what the world is like in itself apart from us as observers- "physics," says Eddington, "is a world contemplated from within...What the world might be deemed like if probed in some supernatural manner by appliances not furnished by itself we do not profess to know." What is left for science, therefore, is to talk about what it sees. That is all that science is. Einstein believed that in today's science "there is no ultimate theory, no...ultimate fact about the stuff the world is made of," there is only talk, which is why Einstein said that "physical concepts are free creations of the human mind." This was forcefully reiterated by Harvard astrophysicist Bruce Gregory, who said that in science "What is real is what we regularly talk about" and therefore "When we create a new way of talking about the world, we naturally create a new world." Physics is a conversation about nature, says Gregory, or, as Bohr put it, "It is wrong to think that the task of physics is to find out how nature is. Physics concerns only what we can say about nature." I close therefore with Schlegel's provocative statement that "The natural world is not so much a fixed structure, waiting to be symbolically reproduced in our science, as it is a complex source of experience which can be described in various and alternative ways." That is the best that the scientific investigation of nature can achieve. It can get no closer to reality than that because in science, to use Bohm's felicitous phrase, "the observer is the observed." Science can yield accurate phenomenological data of the act of observation, but has no tools with which to perceive the ultimate reality that underlies the phenomena, a reality of which, to quote French physicist Bernard d'Espagnat, science can get only "fleeting reflections." As physicist Fred Wolf put it, "the whole universe comes into existence whenever we observe it" and therefore "we are the artists in the game of the universe." More than that, the universes which we create depend not only upon our choices of observation but also upon the order in which we carry them out, and it is therefore our choices and our sequence of analysis which "create the alternative possibilities as realities." To Wolf, as a result, scientific "reality is a matter of choice" and "the real is mainly determined by thought ... The world we live in depends on the pictures of that world we paint in our minds" and how we paint it is determined by desire. As Heinz Pagels puts it, "Human intention influences the structure of the physical world," which is not a picture of the real, but a creation deriving from our interactions with it. As a consequence, fundamental matter becomes to us a fluid, varying, imprecise, uncertain and unmeasurable realm and we cannot discover if there is anything more graspable beneath. That is the only kind of knowledge about the fundamental universe available to us with our present methods, and our ultimate knowledge of any branch of science turns out to be equally imprecise and uncertain. In all of its fields we have derived many partial subjective truths but no fundamental ones, nor is there the prospect of any. There is nothing but ignorance. Among the many disciplines I chose to review in the first few chapters of my book to show that this condition of uncertainty is true of every academic field, I will summarize the situation in cosmology as a typical example, because it bears directly upon the debate about catastrophism. Science reporter John Boslough, in his 1992 book Masters of Time, reviews the course of astronomical theory over the past quarter century, a period of high excitement in the field, but his estimate of the state of astronomy today is depressingly like the impasse which I have described in physics. That is to say, astronomy like physics was dominated in the last 25 years by a belief which started out glorified but ended in failure. In physics it was superstrings. In astronomy it was the big bang-"from 1965 until the mid- 1980's were the heyday of the theory's popularity ... the big bang was simply a fait accompli." The press "glorified science's version of Genesis" and many books "simply took the scientists at their word." Since then, Boslough "spoke with many of the world's most highly regarded theoretical physicists" and realized "that something was wrong ... by the second half of the decade, nobody ... was sure about anything." He perceived that "the glowing language and religious metaphor cosmologists used" was "an inverse measure of the desperation they have been feeling for the past six or seven years." As a result, he concludes that, after all the uproar of the recent decades, after the endless proclamations of success, there has been no progress-in the search for "the secret of the universe's creation ... we are further from the revelation of such a secret ... than at any time in recent history." To him, therefore, the big bang is "a mere will-o-the-wisp," a "sacred cow," a "convenient fiction" created by "leaps of faith." After supergravity, inflation, theories of everything, wormholes, superstrings and the strong and weak anthropic principles, the big bang is still unproved. Each of these speculations had for a short time seemed to be the "final theory" but none were well related to the real world. Superstrings in particular were allowed "to escape utterly the traditional confrontation between theory and experiment" and were consequently described by a leading American physicist as "a medieval scholasticism in which pure thought alone defined nature. The problem was that the new ideas were untestable-"There was no prospect for experimentally or observationally verifying them" -and therefore "cosmology seemed to be becoming less scientific ... it was becoming more like a medieval theology," a "metaphysics," "a new brand of philosophy." The result of this indeterminability was a "developing crisis in cosmology and... in particle physics" which led frantic cosmologists in the 1980's to "resort to extreme measures" in the creation of models, to play "fast and loose with facts that fail to fit" and to create ad hoc suppositions which "could not possibly be detected." I.e., despite the many problems with the accepted model and the presence of solid alternative interpretations, (Alfven, Hoyle, and Arp), Boslough tells us that the majority of cosmologists even today "seem determined to hold onto the big bang" and meet all dissent "with desperate attempts at suppression." What is Boslough's conclusion? To him "the evidence for the big bang is sketchy at best." It is "an overly simplistic model in search of a creation event." How long will the theory last? To Boslough the answer is evident-"it soon will be overwhelmed by more and more uncompromising new observations." Lastly, in the face of this enormous impasse in cosmology, "can we ever hope to fully understand the universe?" Boslough thinks not. "We only know that the universe is changing," and all we can see is "a small corner ... of something incalculably more immense," an unknowable "drama in an untold number of acts ... with or without beginning." What then can astronomy or cosmology tell us about the origin, structure and future of the universe? The answer is, hardly anything certain. According to the very latest thinking, the universe may have been formed bottom-up or top-down, or none of the above. There may have been an expanding universe, or an inflationary universe, or a chaotic inflationary universe, or a mixture of some of these, or none of the above. It may follow the anthropic principle or the cosmological principle or neither. Black holes, galactic holes, the horizon problem, peculiar velocity and phase transition may exist or they may not, or some may while some may not, or none of the above. The missing mass of the universe (if it is missing) may consist of cold dark matter or hot dark matter or lukewarm (strange) dark matter or shadow matter, and, as for the world itself, it is a bubble universe with domain walls or a grown-up former baby universe or an erstwhile pancake structure, and its future is either flat or collapsing or forever expanding or no-boundary, or none of the above. That unfortunately is as precise as the most modern cosmology can be. What does this mean? That astronomy cannot be done? Furthermore, if the same abyss exists in every discipline, as I have just argued, are we to conclude that no science can be done? Certainly not, for good and valuable science is being done every day. What it does it indicate, however, is that there are at least two different sorts of science, the first consisting of scientific acts while the second contains beliefs, and that there is a very large chasm between the two. To be more precise, there is often no intrinsic relation between what science does and what science believes. The outsider might think that, if we cannot ascertain what quasars are or what the red shift means, astronomy must simply come to a stop, but it does not, for science can be done even if there is no agreement on fundamental views, or, to put it more brutally, science can be done without belief. The physicist does physics without being sure what matter is, astronomy is done without a secure knowledge of the origin of the universe, cognitive science is done without a knowledge of the mind, biology is done without a knowledge of life and psychology is done without a knowledge of the personality. As German philosopher Hans Vaihinger tried to tell us in the 1920's, we simply proceed as if there were atoms, as if there were bubble universes, as if there were a discernible mind, as if there were let us say a Freudian personality, but we have no proof for any of these. In no field can we get to the elemental thing- in-itself, yet we act as if there were one and as if we know of it, and every academic discipline is founded upon this fundamental ignorance and fundamental pretense. The problem is that this is very unsettling to the human soul. We tend innately to believe in and to like the building-block model of existence. Just as a book is built up of chapters which contain paragraphs which contain sentences which contain words which contain letters, we think the physical world too is put together this way, with big things built up from smaller things. It seems evident in the ordinary world we encounter, (what physicists call the macroworld), and even throughout the social world, for, not only do molecules cluster into inorganic and organic substances, but houses lead to blocks which lead to neighborhoods which lead to boroughs which lead to cities which lead to states or provinces which lead to regions which lead to countries, as professors constitute departments which constitute faculties which constitute universities, etc. Everywhere, there appears to be a hierarchy. We therefore tend unthinkingly to apply this model both to the micro-world of subatomic particles and to the super-macroworld beyond the galaxies. That is to say, we assume that if we go down far enough we will arrive at the very smallest units, and if we go up far enough we will see the very largest. Start anywhere on a classical chain, we instinctively believe, and one can work backwards to the bottom or forward to the top, step by reasonable scientific step, to finally see the whole thing as one, with all of its parts integrated in a hierarchical structure. The problem is that in no science is either end of the structure demonstrable. We know neither the smallest unit nor the grand totality in any discipline, we simply believe they are there. In each academic field, the ultimate object upon which the acts of observation in that field are implicitly founded are unperceptible, undefinable and unknowable, which means that theories about them are untestable and unprovable, yet each of these fields, like astronomy, is rampant with large irreconcilable assertions. If this is science, what do we mean when we use the word? That is the issue I will now address, and I will begin by breaking the term "science" up into what I feel are its major components. This will enable us to evaluate each one separately, to determine which may not be scientific. Conversely, if we decide that they all are, we can then more correctly evaluate which areas of catastrophism are also "scientific." What is involved is that we perceive the difference between big and little science, which is the subject of my talk. Normally, these terms distinguish affordable from very expensive science. I however use them to separate sensical from nonsensical science, by which I mean the data-derived local theories (small) versus the desire-laden, untestable universal speculations (big). To use astronomy as an example, we see that at the same time two sorts of astronomies are being carried on. One is the firmly-grounded, carefully- reasoned and well-calculated work which professionals like Victor Clube and Tom Van Flandern do, who are here with us today. That is little science, and concerns what we can see and measure and therefore say intelligent things about. The second concerns what we cannot see or measure, for, as I quoted a moment ago, it is almost always unobservable, untestable and unverifiable, and therefore we cannot say intelligent things about it. That is Big Science, in this instance the world of very large cosmological theory, which has very little foundation, rationality or physical probity. Yet, as I asked a moment ago, is this not science too? Doesn't speculation, especially informed speculation, constitute a legitimate part of scientific inquiry? I will argue that it does, despite its lack of scientific precision, and from this seeming paradox we can begin to build a realistic definition. I consider science to be divisible into five areas-scientific problems, scientific methods, scientific research, scientific laws and scientific theories. Up until about 1950, the majority of scientists took each of these to be self-evidently correct. The world is as we see it and our theories about it describe reality. I cannot summarize in a few minutes here the revolutions in the philosophy of science of the last half century, but it is suffice to say that, since Popper and especially since Kuhn and Feyerabend, there is as much doubt in the minds of philosophers of science as there is in the minds of the leading scientists themselves that what science does and what science produces is directly and literally real. To take the five elements one by one, (leaving aside for a moment the category of scientific problems), the second, the vaunted scientific method, certainly has its merits, but also its faults, for, (despite or because of) its precision and stringency, it excludes as much as it includes. That is to say, because it is restricted to only certain kinds of acts, (rational, empirical and repeatable), it might be useful for the doing of science, (being tailor-made for that purpose), but it cannot delimit all the ways in which useful knowledge might be obtained. Similarly, the third part, the process of experiment and calculation, is also precise but restrictive, for what it produces is not all possible data but only scientific data, which is to say the quantified results of controlled experimental situations, but this does not include any valid observations which might arrive from outside these boundaries. This area too is therefore limited. The fourth element, the phenomenological laws derived from the scientific data, are also correct, but only in their way, which is to say, only if it is recognized that they are descriptions and not proscriptions. That is to say, they come after the experimental event and summarize it. This means they can only refer to what was seen, but they cannot forbid events or laws which might contradict the already seen. They are not perpetual limits or barriers to what could be seen, nor are they direct or complete or valid representations of the seen. Scientific laws at any given moment are merely a summary of what is being thought at that moment, and they are valid only as long as they continue to apply to the world defined by the experiments that produced them. That restricted role is the limit of their validity and of the entire chain from method to data to law. It is of value only within this carefully-enclosed parameter. When we come to the fifth area of science, the region of general theories which apparently are derived from the local phenomenological laws, everything is actually less sure. That is because in each field, not merely in astronomy and physics but in neuroscience, biology and chemistry, (not to mention mathematics, literary criticism, history, philosophy, psychology, human anthropology, etc., etc.), there is at the bottom of each discipline an abyss, an impenetrable black box, and all we can do is infer what is inside. The resultant grand theories, therefore, whether they be about the largest physical structures, as in cosmology, or the smallest, as in particle physics, or about the human mind or human behaviour, as in cognitive science or psychology, or about the largest human events (history) or the most private, (the creation of art), are simply not scientific in any field. They cannot be precisely quantified, they cannot be tested, and therefore they are open neither to proof nor disproof. These are what I call Big Science, and it would be hard to demonstrate that they have any intrinsic relation to what is done in little science, i.e., little physics, little astronomy, little psychology or little literary criticism, etc. They are a world of their own, a world which may not exist and, even more important, which does not have to exist for little science to exist. Furthermore, not only is large scientific theory not able to be tested scientifically, not only does it not lend itself directly to the doing of little science, but it has two more major faults. First, it never questions its faith that the scientific mind exercising scientific method must discover the secrets of the universe in every field, which I have just tried to show is an illusion. Second, whenever a hard choice arises in science between acknowledging our ignorance or pretending perception, Big Science always supports that side which says that the world is understandable, even where the data does not call for or actually forbids that belief, and it always supports order, uniformity, predictability and analyzability. It therefore presents a world picture which is unreal. More insidious than Big Science's unreality, however, is its use as ideological manipulation. If we look closely at what is being slyly implied by Big Science, we seem to have departed from the world of "knowledge" and "laws" and to have entered a realm of pure propaganda, where little science in its first four dimensions is being used in the fifth, the Alice-world of Big Science, to sell us a view of nature which does not follow from the evidence. The process of subliminal huckstering goes something like this: hydrogen consists of H2O and therefore the world is stable, or radio signals can be bounced off the moon and therefore the world is uniformitarian, or nuclear accelerators function and therefore catastrophes cannot have occurred. The underlying suggestion which the unwary audience is being asked to implicitly swallow is that, if all of these local accomplishments are true, then the big view, uniformitarianism, must be true too. I am exaggerating, naturally, but I ask you to see that this picture is not far from the truth. Big Science is a religion of reason, universal order and stability, which is precisely how its popularizers, (men like Asimov, Gardner, Sagan and Moore), market it. What can explain this? Why should Big Science be unrelated to and almost in defiance of little science? I think the rupture between them could be a product of the difference between their origins. That is to say, what if Big Science is not a product of scientific data, as little science is, but of human nature? What it upholds would therefore not be what physical nature requires us to believe about the world, (that it is ultimately unapproachable), but what human nature wants to believe about the world, which is that the entire universe is understandable, predictable and controllable. From this it is a short but necessary step to the surmise that, if Big Science is a structure we and not the world have devised, what it advocates must be a denial of what we are afraid of, which in this instance would have to be that the world is not understandable, not predictable and therefore not controllable. That would be the terrible understanding we cannot face, and Big Science would be the way in which we avoid facing it. The process, if true, is a form of unconscious self-delusion. In the first act of Shakespeare's Macbeth, when the two Scottish generals Macbeth and Banquo are tempted toward regicide by the Witches, Banquo warns Macbeth: But oftentimes, to win us to our harm, The instruments of darkness tell us truths, Win us with honest trifles, to betray us In deepest consequence. (1.3.123-126) He is saying that the Weird Sisters are using small true predictions to trap Macbeth into committing a big mortal sin, and that is how I would describe the origin and nature of Big Science. It is my opinion that, unconsciously and hysterically, our culture as a whole has collectively evolved or created classical rationalist uniformitarian Big Science not to find out the total truth about nature but, in a pretense of doing just that, to use the success of small science about nature as the bait to get us to swallow the lie of Big Science about nature. The big lie works precisely because small science is true. That is how we are fooled. In my opinion, the process occurs because, if we are all racially terrified by unconscious inherited memories of immense global natural catastrophes, we have to deny them somehow, and to tie Big Science to the coat-tails of little science does the trick neatly. I would therefore separate Big Science from both little science and Newton. In my opinion, Newton is the true big science for little, while Laplacian Newtonianism (uniformitarian Big Science-as-propaganda), is a realm by itself, a creed developed by scientism alongside of but independent of both big and little. With this picture of the two sciences in mind, (or three), we can now attempt to locate catastrophism within it. Historian of science Thomas Kuhn has written that each period in science is dominated by a single master paradigm or research tradition which determines what will be considered the proper problems to be solved, the proper data, the proper methods of research, the proper short-term solutions and codification of observations into laws, and the proper universal theories in that science. When the paradigm changes, Kuhn tells us, the contents of all these areas will change because they are not independent but paradigmdependent. There will then be new problems, new data, new experiments, new laws and new theories. This brings me finally to the first of the five parts of science, the general set of problems to which solutions are sought, whose analysis I had earlier postponed. The dominant element in any paradigmatic period of science is the group of problems which that research tradition considers fundamental, whether the researchers within that tradition have solved all, many or none of them, for almost all philosophers of science agree that a paradigm is defined not by the success of its answers but by the nature of its questions. These questions, however, do not arise in vacuo. They can only be the products of an anterior global vision or world view out of which the questions typical of that research tradition are generated, and that is why science as a whole changes when the world view which it accepts changes. It is because the questions change. That in my humble opinion is what causes scientific revolutions, (which is what they must be called), for a very great deal is at stake at these moments when paradigms do battle. Consider for instance the period when the Ptolemaic cosmology was replaced by the Newtonian. It was not merely a question of a different model, but of a different perception of man's place in God's universe. Under Ptolemy and Aristotle, the Earth was at the center of the universe and humankind was lord of the Earth. This gave us a special role in Creation, which occurred for our pleasure and benefit. We were the purpose of the universe. Newton destroyed that comforting illusion, but in its place he gave us something almost as good, for Newton too said that the entire cosmos was safe, that it was a giant clock constructed by God to tick forever, even if the Earth was only a small cog in its mechanism and suffered occasional perturbations. That was a fair trade and we bought it, but our acceptance of the Newtonian world view generated new questions which therefore changed human research, which therefore ended the Scholastic paradigm and began the Newtonian. The fundamental aim of the Ptolemist was to devise methods and conduct research and derive laws and formulate theories which would prove, refine and expand the doctrine of epicycles. All of this disappeared when Newton was accepted. Not merely were there new methods, new experiments, new laws and new theories but a new world view to be proved, refined and expanded. The purpose, the goal, the ideal of science changed, and it is my opinion that the same phenomenon may be occurring again with the advent of catastrophism. In the book I am writing on the limits of knowledge, from which I presented a summary a moment ago, the eighth chapter is entitled "The Certainty of Uncertainty." It deals with the phenomenon of continual change in ideas, (as with the aether or continental drift in science), which I see as inevitable- one prevailing view is always replaced by a successor. That, as I pointed out last night, is the history of every discipline, including each science. When enough local views are overthrown, a new overall view or paradigm will emerge and be accepted. The new paradigm establishes its distance from its predecessor by rejecting the fundamental tenets of the existing tradition or keeping only some of them or arguing for additional ones to be included. I ask you now to consider catastrophism in this light, as a rival to classical uniformitarian Newtonianist Science. What catastrophism does, I submit, is to carry that previous tradition a step further toward the truth by eliminating certain of its excesses. That is to say, if Newton removed the Earth from the center of the Ptolemaic universe, (which is correct), he still said it was safe, (which is incorrect), whereas Velikovsky took the next step away from Aristotle and Scholasticism after Newton by declaring that the Earth is unsafe, which is more correct still, but is also much more frightening. This constitutes a total break with the illusory comfort of the past ideologies, and that I think is what is really at stake between the rivals, catastrophist science and classical science, and what causes the hatred, violence and foolishness of Big Science and its popularizers toward catastrophism. It is nothing less than a question of peace of mind, which I think has proved far more important than mere truth. Under Newton we were not as coddled and favored as under Ptolemy, but we believed nevertheless that the Earth would always survive. Under catastrophism that certainty is gone, for no technology we have, not even Star Wars, can drive giant meteors from our path. This is a vastly bleaker and more depressing picture, ergo the panicked resistance-but it could be true. If this possibility exists, steps must be taken to explore it thoroughly and objectively. Catastrophism can then be seen as doing just this, and therefore as an alternative or rival paradigm to classical science in all its five major areas. We who believe that the Velikovskian concept in general might be correct have developed new tools or new concepts to correspond to our new research tradition. We use data that includes what traditional science allows but also much more that it does not, we interrogate that data with questions that go far beyond what uniformitarian science would like to prove, we derive opinions (not "laws") from our answers that present a very different picture of astronomy, earth history and anthropology than classical science does, and we arrive at overall views of the Solar System (that part of the universe we feel science can safely talk about) which run sharply counter to the placebos of accepted Big Science. Above all that, we pose new questions designed to examine our paradigm, the hypothesis that catastrophes can happen, and all of this, we feel, is not merely validated but required by our new conception. The result is that, while at some points catastrophist and uniformitarian science may overlap, at most points they are very different. The question I now wish to leave with you, therefore, is this-if it is possible that we are correct about the near history of the Solar System, would this not put us light years ahead of uniformitarian science? That is how I see Velikovsky's place in science, and the place of those like us who come after him, no matter how much we may deviate from or differ between ourselves about or expand the original. If our common general paradigm is correct, as I described it yesterday evening, it is we who may be on the right track, it is we who may be most truly, most honestly scientific. Wolfe, Irving, What Can Criticism Know? Part I, Paper presented to the Graduate Seminar on Methods and Scholarship, Dep. d'etudes anglaises, Universite de Montreal, 1993, What Can Criticism Know? Part II, Paper presented jointly to the Graduate Seminar on Methods and Scholarship, Dep. d'etudes anglaises, and the Graduate Seminar in the History of Science, Dep. d'histoire, Universite de Montreal, 1994. 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